UFXBank Daily News: The GBP and Euro strengthen against the USD

Posted by admin on October 10, 2011 under forex market | Be the First to Comment

USD Dollar (USD) – In forex trading, the US Dollar fell versus most of the majors after better than expected Payrolls data lowered risk aversion and caused investors to prefer higher yielding assets. Non Farms Payrolls came out with a 103K increase from 57K last month and a 55K forecast. Wall Street couldn’t sustain early gains and finished in the red as the NASDAQ declined by 1.1% and the Dow Jones declined by 0.18%. Crude oil gained by 0.11% and closed at $83.07 a barrel. Gold (XAU) weakened by -0.76%, closing at $1,636.10 an ounce. Today is Columbus Day, a Bank Holiday in the USA and low liquidity and irregular volatility are expected.

Euro (EUR) – The Euro strengthened versus the US Dollar after French and German leaders pledged to deliver a plan in three weeks to recapitalize banks and reiterated their intention to keep Greece within the Euro. This occurred, despite Fitch Ratings cutting Italy’s rating to A+ from AA- and Spain’s rating from AA+ to AA-. Additionally, Portugal is expected to become the next country to be downgraded. Trading below the resistance level of 1.3500 will keep the momentum of the pair negative, but if the pair breaks above this resistance level, it may reach the 1.4060 level again. Overall, the EUR/USD traded with a low of 1.3360 and with a high of 1.3524. Today, the German Trade Balance is expected at 9.8B versus 10.10B previously and the French and Italian Industrial Production will be released.

EUR/USD – Last: 1.3460

Resistance 1.3500 1.3525 1.3570
Support 1.3410 1.3350 1.3280

British Pound (GBP) – The British Pound gained versus the US Dollar after better than expected Payrolls data in the U.S spurred demand for higher yielding assets. The Pound retraced most of its gains later during the trading session. MPC Member, Weale, said on Sunday that the Bank of England is likely to increase asset purchases even further than the 275 Billion Pounds, which was announced on Thursday. The trend for the pair remains bearish if it maintains its resistance level of 1.5730, but if the pair breaks that resistance it may reach the 1.5950 level again. Overall, the GBP/USD traded with a low of 1.5422 and with a high of 1.5645. No economic data is expected today.

GBP/USD – Last: 1.5610

Resistance 1.5670 1.5730 1.5780
Support 1.5580 1.5550 1.5500

Japanese Yen (JPY) – The Yen finished lower versus the US Dollar and most majors after better than expected Non Farm Payrolls in the US spurred investors toward higher yielding assets. The Bank of Japan made no changes in its monetary policy by leaving rates unchanged, and stated that there is an increasing risk of a global slowdown. Technically, the USD/JPY is trading within a narrow range with no clear long term trend. If the pair breaks below the 76.00 level, the trend will continue downwards. Today is a Bank Holiday in Japan which can lead to abnormally low or high volatility.

USD/JPY – Last: 76.80

Resistance 77.00 77.20 77.80
Support 76.60 76.30 76.00

 

Canadian Dollar (CAD) The Canadian Dollar finished unchanged versus the US Dollar on Friday. The Employment Change was 60.9K better than the expected 15.2K and the Unemployment Rate was also better than expected with 7.1% versus 7.3%. Positive economic data caused the Canadian Dollar to strengthen to a one-week high versus the U.S Dollar, but a 103K in Non Farm Payrolls helped the US Dollar bounce back. The trend for the pair will continue to be bullish if the pair maintains its support level of 1.0280. Today is a Bank Holiday in Canada in observance of Thanksgiving Day and the market is expected to be low on liquidity which could lead to abnormal volatility.  

USD/CAD – Last: 1.0340

Resistance 1.0400 1.0450 1.0480
Support 1.0320 1.0280 1.0240
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