No role for emotions in forex trading

Posted by Daytrader on December 21, 2009 under Daily Forex review | Be the First to Comment

The last summer you had your hands on some foreign currencies that were bought with your own money and now you want more of them. The last summer surely made you trade some currency but you did not make any profit from the trade that you made. If you had thought before you had made a trade then you would have surely made some profit.

There are many who believe that, all traders begin to earn a lot of money in the market as soon as they stay for a while in the market. This is not very true in all cases. There is a lot of things that a trader needs to learn and know before he could do good to himself by making profits. The traders have to keep a close watch on the market for movements.
There is always a pattern that the movement in the market produces. The long stay in the market will make you an expert in predicting the trend of the market. There is immaculate pressure when a trader enters the market in order to make a gamble and tries to make a profit with the investment that he has made.

Emotions play a major role in the market. Traders should trade in the market with out any fear. That does not mean that the trader should be hasty. The traders should be able to keep control over their emotions especially when they are about to take decisions.
Decisions can be guided by various analyses. There are a lot of traders in the market and hence decisions can make you win or lose in split seconds. There are two major type of analyses. They are known as fundamental and technical.

The fundamental analysis contains a lot of detail but it is very precise in predicting the forex market. The fundamental analysis of a forex market is always done with regard to the extrinsic factors. The past data of a market is analyzed in order to predict the future trend in a market when technical analysis is deployed. . A person who is expert at fundamental analysis can predict a drop off in the market if the government in a particular country is very much not stable. The fundamental analyst can predict that the market will have an increase if in case a leader who is very popular has won the recent elections. Previous market trends are sure to impact the trends of the market in future. And forex market is no exception. People have always been same. Right from the dawn of forex market, people tend to buy or sell and also there is always a response to stimuli. Hence a thorough analysis is required before taking a decision.

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Daily Review 18/11/2009

Posted by Daytrader on December 18, 2009 under Daily Forex review | Be the First to Comment

USD Dollar (USD)

The Dollar gained versus most majors as Industrial Production came out weaker, lowering risk appetite. Industrial Production came out 0.1% versus 0.4% expected. PPI came out weaker with 0.3% versus 0.6% forecast. TIC Long-Term Purchases came out better with 40.7B versus 27.3B expected. NASDAQ and Dow Jones rose slightly by 0.27% and 0.29%. Crude gained by 0.68% closing at 79.44$ a barrel and Gold (XAU) remained almost unchanged with 0.16% change closing at 1140.5$ an ounce. Today, Building Permits are expected higher with 0.59M versus 0.57M prior and Core CPI is expected with 0.1% versus 0.2% prior. Housing Starts are expected higher with 0.61M versus 0.59M and Crude Inventories are expected with 1.2M versus 1.8M prior.

EURO (EUR)

The Euro weakened versus the Dollar and the Pound as risk appetite weakened and ECB\’s president Trichet said a strong Dollar is important for the world economy. European Trade Balance came out better than expected with 6.8B versus -0.9B expected. EUR/USD traded with a low of 1.4806 and with a high of 1.4998. Today, European Current Account is expected with 0.6B versus -1.3B prior. ECB President Trichet will speak in Frankfurt.

EUR/USD – Last: 1.4870

Resistance

1.4900

1.4925

1.4955

Support

1.4810

1.4740

1.4703

British Pound (GBP)

The Pound remained almost unchanged versus the Dollar as CPI figures came out better than expected but Industrial Production in the U.S lowered investors Risk Appetite. CPI came out 1.5% versus 1.4% expected and RPI came out -0.8% versus -0.9% expected. Overall, GBP/USD traded with a low of 1.6755 and a high of 1.6872. Today, MPC Meeting Minutes will be released. CBI Industrial Order Expectations are expected with -47 versus -51 prior.

GBP/USD – Last: 1.6800

Resistance

1.6850

1.6900

1.6955

Support

1.6750

1.6670

1.6625

Japanese Yen (JPY)

The Yen gained versus the Euro and weakened versus the Dollar as risk appetite lowered after Industrial Production in the U.S came out weaker than expected. Overall, USD/JPY traded with a low of 88.73 and a high of 89.53 and EUR/JPY traded with a low of 132.44 and a high of 133.58. Today, All Industries Activity is expected with -0.1% versus 0.9% prior.

USD/JPY-Last: 89.17

Resistance

89.65

90.00

90.18

Support

88.80

88.60

88.25

Canadian dollar (CAD)

The Canadian Dollar dropped as Risk Appetite weakened following U.S production data. Overall, USD/CAD traded with a low of 1.0464 and a high of 1.0617. Today, Canadian CPI is expected with 0.2% versus 0% prior and Core CPI is expected with 0% versus 0.3% prior.

CAD/USD – Last: 1.0535

Resistance

1.0620

1.0680

1.0735

Support

1.0475

1.0450

1.0425

Research by http://www.ufxbank.com

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Daily Review 17/12/2009

Posted by Daytrader on December 17, 2009 under Daily Forex review | Be the First to Comment

USD Dollar (USD)

The Dollar gained massively across the board on the day the Federal Reserve decided to leave rates as expected at 0.25%. The Dollar rose after the announcement and continued its gaining after Asia markets opened. Earlier, the Building Permits came out 0.58M better than expected 0.57M. CPI came out unchanged as expected at 0.4%. Wall Street finished mix after being unable to hold in the positive side. Stocks turned to the negative after the statement of the FED about monetary policy. The Dow Jones fell 0.10% and NASDAQ rose by 0.28%. Crude Oil kept gaining for the second day closing at 72.77$ a barrel after the oil inventories showed a 3.7M drop. Gold (XAU) gained also closing at 1137$ an ounce. Today, the Initial Jobless Claims expected at 470K vs. 474K previously. The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index expected at 16 vs. 16.7 previously.

EURO (EUR)

The Euro fell against the Dollar and the Pound, breaking through the 1.4500 and 1.4400 support levels, after the CPI came out 0.5% worse than expected 0.6%. The breakdown of this level could bring the pair to fresh new lows. Manufacturing PMI came out 51.6 better than expected 51.5. Overall, EUR/USD traded with a low of 1.4379 and a high of 1.4590. Today, the Italian Unemployment Rate expected 7.7% vs. 7.4% previously.

EUR/USD – Last: 1.4410

Resistance

1.4500

1.4600

1.4675

Support

1.4345

1.4300

1.4235

British Pound (GBP)

The Cable was the best performer among majors. GBP/USD momentarily broke above 1.6370 and rose to 1.6404, reaching a one-week high but then pulled back, breaking below the 1.6300 support level, reaching lows of 1.6230. Claimant Count Change came out -6.3K better than the expected 14K. Overall, GBP/USD traded with a low of 1.6230 and a high of 1.6409. Today, the Retail Sales expected at 0.5% vs. 0.4% previously. The CBI DTS expected at 16 vs. 13 previously.

GBP/USD – Last: 1.6275

Resistance

1.6425

1.6475

1.6525

Support

1.6275

1.6210

1.6170

Japanese Yen (JPY)

The Yen fell against the Pound and the Dollar. The Dollar reached a one-week high against the Yen as the Federal Reserve said deterioration in the labor market is abating while it will keep its low rate for an extended period. Overall, USD/JPY traded with a low of 89.37 and a high of 89.96. Today, the interest rate decision of The Bank of Japan (BOJ) expected unchanged at 0.1%.

USD/JPY-Last: 89.65

Resistance

89.95

90.40

90.75

Support

89.30

88.75

88.35

Canadian Dollar (CAD)

The Canadian currency gained as crude oil and stocks rose. It was little changed after policy makers in the nation and the U.S. made commitments to keep interest rates at historic lows. The Manufacturing Sales came out 2% better than expected 0.5%. Overall, USD/CAD traded with a low of 1.0570 and a high of 1.0641. Today, The Core CPI expected unchanged at 0.1%. The Foreign Securities Purchases expected at 10B vs. 13.59B previously.

USD/CAD – Last: 1.0615

Resistance

1.0640

1.0670

1.0700

Support

1.0570

1.0550

1.0515

Research by http://www.ufxbank.com

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