Posted by admin on October 10, 2011 under forex market |
USD Dollar (USD) – In forex trading, the US Dollar fell versus most of the majors after better than expected Payrolls data lowered risk aversion and caused investors to prefer higher yielding assets. Non Farms Payrolls came out with a 103K increase from 57K last month and a 55K forecast. Wall Street couldn’t sustain early gains and finished in the red as the NASDAQ declined by 1.1% and the Dow Jones declined by 0.18%. Crude oil gained by 0.11% and closed at $83.07 a barrel. Gold (XAU) weakened by -0.76%, closing at $1,636.10 an ounce. Today is Columbus Day, a Bank Holiday in the USA and low liquidity and irregular volatility are expected.
Euro (EUR) – The Euro strengthened versus the US Dollar after French and German leaders pledged to deliver a plan in three weeks to recapitalize banks and reiterated their intention to keep Greece within the Euro. This occurred, despite Fitch Ratings cutting Italy’s rating to A+ from AA- and Spain’s rating from AA+ to AA-. Additionally, Portugal is expected to become the next country to be downgraded. Trading below the resistance level of 1.3500 will keep the momentum of the pair negative, but if the pair breaks above this resistance level, it may reach the 1.4060 level again. Overall, the EUR/USD traded with a low of 1.3360 and with a high of 1.3524. Today, the German Trade Balance is expected at 9.8B versus 10.10B previously and the French and Italian Industrial Production will be released.
EUR/USD – Last: 1.3460
| Resistance |
1.3500 |
1.3525 |
1.3570 |
| Support |
1.3410 |
1.3350 |
1.3280 |
British Pound (GBP) – The British Pound gained versus the US Dollar after better than expected Payrolls data in the U.S spurred demand for higher yielding assets. The Pound retraced most of its gains later during the trading session. MPC Member, Weale, said on Sunday that the Bank of England is likely to increase asset purchases even further than the 275 Billion Pounds, which was announced on Thursday. The trend for the pair remains bearish if it maintains its resistance level of 1.5730, but if the pair breaks that resistance it may reach the 1.5950 level again. Overall, the GBP/USD traded with a low of 1.5422 and with a high of 1.5645. No economic data is expected today.
GBP/USD – Last: 1.5610
| Resistance |
1.5670 |
1.5730 |
1.5780 |
| Support |
1.5580 |
1.5550 |
1.5500 |
Japanese Yen (JPY) – The Yen finished lower versus the US Dollar and most majors after better than expected Non Farm Payrolls in the US spurred investors toward higher yielding assets. The Bank of Japan made no changes in its monetary policy by leaving rates unchanged, and stated that there is an increasing risk of a global slowdown. Technically, the USD/JPY is trading within a narrow range with no clear long term trend. If the pair breaks below the 76.00 level, the trend will continue downwards. Today is a Bank Holiday in Japan which can lead to abnormally low or high volatility.
USD/JPY – Last: 76.80
| Resistance |
77.00 |
77.20 |
77.80 |
| Support |
76.60 |
76.30 |
76.00 |
Canadian Dollar (CAD) – The Canadian Dollar finished unchanged versus the US Dollar on Friday. The Employment Change was 60.9K better than the expected 15.2K and the Unemployment Rate was also better than expected with 7.1% versus 7.3%. Positive economic data caused the Canadian Dollar to strengthen to a one-week high versus the U.S Dollar, but a 103K in Non Farm Payrolls helped the US Dollar bounce back. The trend for the pair will continue to be bullish if the pair maintains its support level of 1.0280. Today is a Bank Holiday in Canada in observance of Thanksgiving Day and the market is expected to be low on liquidity which could lead to abnormal volatility.
USD/CAD – Last: 1.0340
| Resistance |
1.0400 |
1.0450 |
1.0480 |
| Support |
1.0320 |
1.0280 |
1.0240 |
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Posted by admin on October 6, 2011 under forex market |
USD Dollar (USD) – In forex trading, the US Dollar fell against most major currencies as the appetite for riskier assets increased and investors preferred to purchase higher yielding assets over the Greenback. The ADP Non-Farm Employment Change data came out at 91k better than the expected 76k and triggered the Stock Markets to rally, with the Dow Jones appreciating by 1.21% and the NASDAQ by 2.32%. Crude Oil soared by 5.3% after Stocks showed a drop of -4.7M and Crude Oil closed at $79.60 a barrel. Gold (XAU) also joined the positive trend and increased by 1.6% to close to $1641 an ounce. Today, Unemployment Claims are expected at 411k vs. 391k previously.
Euro (EUR) – The Euro rose against most currencies and was firm against the US Dollar amid optimism about a possible solution to the debt crisis; after Germany said that the bailout fund can be used to recover struggling banks. Retail Sales came out -0.3% worse than the expected -0.2%. Trading below the resistance level of 1.3480 will keep the momentum of the pair negative, but if the pair breaks above this resistance level, it may reach the 1.4060 level again. Overall, the EUR/USD traded with a low of 1.3260 and with a high of 1.3383. Today, the Interest Rate Decision is expected to remain unchanged at 1.5%. Soon after, the ECB Press Conference is expected, and it might determine further trends for the European Currency.
EUR/USD – Last: 1.3331
| Resistance |
1.3350 |
1.3400 |
1.3460 |
| Support |
1.3300 |
1.3240 |
1.3150 |
British Pound (GBP) – The British Pound fell against the US Dollar on speculation that the Bank of England will encourage its program of bond purchases, or Quantitative Easing, at the policy meeting which is expected today. The GBPUSD pair made several attempts to breach the 1.5490 level but failed and remained capped. The Services PMI came out at 52.9, better than the expected 50.6. The trend for the pair remains bearish if it maintains its resistance level of 1.5730, but if the pair breaks that resistance it may reach the 1.5950 level again. Overall, the GBP/USD traded with a low of 1.5393 and with a high of 1.5492. Today, the Interest Rate Decision is expected to remain unchanged at 0.5%. Soon after, the MPC Rate Statement is expected, and it might determine further trends for the Cable.
GBP/USD – Last: 1.5425
| Resistance |
1.5490 |
1.5550 |
1.5600 |
| Support |
1.5420 |
1.5380 |
1.5340 |
Japanese Yen (JPY) – The US Dollar traded unchanged against the Japanese Yen after the pair did not succeed to break its resistance level of 77.00. Technically, trading below the 76.80 level will keep the trend bearish and the pair may test its support of 76.30. Today, no economic data is expected.
USD/JPY – Last: 76.73
| Resistance |
76.80 |
77.00 |
77.20 |
| Support |
76.55 |
76.30 |
76.10 |
Canadian Dollar (CAD) – The Canadian Dollar gained for a second day against the Greenback as an improvement in market sentiment weakened the US Dollar across the board and Black Gold prices soared, supporting the Loonie. Holding below the resistance area of 1.0500 keeps the momentum bearish for the pair. Overall, the USD/CAD traded with a low of 1.0394 and with a high of 1.0569. Today, the Building Permits are expected at 0.6% vs. 6.3% previously. The Ivey PMI is expected at 58.2 vs. 57.6 previously.
USD/CAD – Last: 1.0425
| Resistance |
1.0480 |
1.0570 |
1.0650 |
| Support |
1.0370 |
1.0280 |
1.0200 |
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Posted by admin on October 5, 2011 under forex market |
USD Dollar (USD) – In forex trading, the US Dollar fell against most major currencies after Federal Reserve Chairman, Ben Bernanke, said that the central bank is ready do more to boost the economy. Bernanke is struggling to find ways to reduce unemployment, which is stuck at 9 percent and avert a second recession in three years after deploying unconventional stimulus tools. The US Dollar fell despite speculation that signs of economic slowdown will compel the European Central Bank to increase monetary stimulus at its meeting tomorrow. Wall Street closed positive as the NASDAQ rose by 2.95% and the Dow Jones rose 1.44% due to a report that European Union officials were examining ways to coordinate the recapitalization of banks and valuations at the cheapest level since 2009. Crude oil jumped for the first day in four by 2.00 and closed at $77.70 a barrel. Gold (XAU) fell by 1.86%, closing at $1,630 an ounce. Today, the ADP Non-Farm Employment Change is expected to grow by 76K vs. 91K previously, the ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI is expected to show 53.0 vs. 53.3 previously and Crude Oil Inventories are expected to grow by 1.0M vs. 1.9M previously.
Euro (EUR)–The Euro bounced off an 8 month low, finishing higher at 1.3290, amid speculation that Europe will recapitalize its banks to tame a debt crisis which threatens to curb economic growth. The Euro held its ground, despite Moody’s announcement about downgrading Italy’s government bond rating by three notches, from AA2 to A2, which meant that Italy’s credit rating was cut for the first time in almost two decades. There is concern that the government will struggle to reduce the region’s second-largest debt amid chronically weak growth. Trading below the resistance level of 1.3480 will keep the momentum of the pair negative, but if the pair breaks above this resistance level, it may reach the 1.4060 level again. Overall, the EUR/USD traded with a low of 1.3144 and with a high of 1.3368. Today, Retail Sales are expected to decline by -0.20% vs. 0.30% previously.
EUR/USD – Last: 1.3290
| Resistance |
1.3300 |
1.3350 |
1.3400 |
| Support |
1.3240 |
1.3190 |
1.3150 |
British Pound (GBP) – The British Pound strengthened against the Greenback as the Euro-region debt crisis stoked demand for comparatively safer assets and investors wait to hear whether the Bank of England will announce further monetary stimulus to revive the economy tomorrow. The trend for the pair remains bearish if it maintains its resistance level of 1.5730, but if the pair breaks that resistance it may reach the 1.5950 level again. Overall, the GBP/USD traded with a low of 1.5420 and with a high of 1.5582. Today, the Current Account is expected to decline by -10.4B vs. -9.4B previously, the Services PMI is expected to show 50.6 vs. 51.1 previously and the final GDP is expected to grow by 0.2% as previously.
GBP/USD – Last: 1.5435
| Resistance |
1.5500 |
1.5550 |
1.5600 |
| Support |
1.5420 |
1.5380 |
1.5340 |
Japanese Yen (JPY) – The US Dollar traded unchanged against the Japanese Yen after the pair did not succeed to break it resistance level of 77.00. Technically, trading below the 76.80 level will keep the trend bearish and the pair may test its support of 76.30. Today, no economic data is expected.
USD/JPY – Last: 76.70
| Resistance |
76.80 |
77.00 |
77.20 |
| Support |
76.30 |
76.00 |
|
Canadian Dollar (CAD) – The Canadian Dollar fell on concern that the global economy is weakening after Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said the U.S. central bank stands ready to take additional steps to boost growth. The trend for the pair will continue to remain bullish if the pair maintains its support level of 1.0350. Today, no economic data is expected.
USD/CAD – Last: 1.0550
| Resistance |
1.0600 |
1.0680 |
1.0760 |
| Support |
1.0480 |
1.0400 |
1.0350 |
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