Posted by admin on October 17, 2011 under forex market | 
USD Dollar (USD) – In forex trading, the US Dollar weakened versus most majors as investors shifted away from safe haven currencies into higher yielding assets. Stronger than expected Retail Sales (1.1% vs 0.5%) and increased speculation on the resolution of the European debt crisis spurred investors towards riskier assets. Wall Street gained strongly as the NASDAQ rose by 1.82% and the Dow Jones gained by 1.45%, posting the best weekly performance since July 2009. Crude Oil bounced by 3.62% and closed at $87.28 a barrel. Gold (XAU) gained by 0.76%, closing at $1,680.70 an ounce. Today, the Empire State Manufacturing Index is expected at -3.9 versus -8.8 previously and Industrial Production is expected unchanged at 0.2%.
Euro (EUR) – The Euro rallied versus the US Dollar and the Japanese Yen, as expectations regarding the possibility of solving the European debt crisis rose. The G20 meeting over the weekend urged the Eurozone to finalize the aid plan to recapitalize its banks and end the Greek Debt crisis within a week. The EUR/USD rallied for the past 2 weeks but it is facing major resistance levels near 1.40. Overall, the EUR/USD traded with a low of 1.3722 and with a high of 1.3893. No economic data is expected today.
EUR/USD – Last: 1.3840
| Resistance |
1.3900 |
1.4000 |
1.4050 |
| Support |
1.3825 |
1.3750 |
1.3715 |
British Pound (GBP) – The British Pound rose versus the US Dollar following optimism regarding the European debt crisis. The trend for the pair will remain bullish if it maintains its support level of 1.57, but if the pair breaks that support it may resume its downtrend. Overall, the GBP/USD traded with a low of 1.5720 and with a high of 1.5851. No economic data is expected today.
GBP/USD – Last: 1.5790
| Resistance |
1.5850 |
1.5900 |
1.5950 |
| Support |
1.5770 |
1.5720 |
1.5660 |
Japanese Yen (JPY) – The Yen declined versus the US Dollar and other majors as investors turned towards higher yielding assets over expectations that the European debt crisis is close to a solution. Technically, the USD/JPY is trading within a narrow range between 77.50 and 76 with no clear trend. No economic data is expected today.
USD/JPY – Last: 77.17
| Resistance |
77.50 |
77.80 |
78.00 |
| Support |
76.80 |
76.10 |
|
Canadian Dollar (CAD) – The Canadian Dollar gained versus the US Dollar as commodity-linked currencies rallied after stronger than expected retail sales in the US and more signs of global growth. The USD/CAD is on a strong decline and is near oversold conditions according to the 4 hour RSI. Today, Foreign Securities Purchases is expected at 9.23B versus 11.78B previously. The Bank of Canada will release its quarterly Business Outlook Survey.
USD/CAD – Last: 1.0097
| Resistance |
1.0125 |
1.0155 |
1.0225 |
| Support |
1.0080 |
1.0050 |
1.0000 |
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Posted by admin on October 6, 2011 under forex market |
USD Dollar (USD) – In forex trading, the US Dollar fell against most major currencies as the appetite for riskier assets increased and investors preferred to purchase higher yielding assets over the Greenback. The ADP Non-Farm Employment Change data came out at 91k better than the expected 76k and triggered the Stock Markets to rally, with the Dow Jones appreciating by 1.21% and the NASDAQ by 2.32%. Crude Oil soared by 5.3% after Stocks showed a drop of -4.7M and Crude Oil closed at $79.60 a barrel. Gold (XAU) also joined the positive trend and increased by 1.6% to close to $1641 an ounce. Today, Unemployment Claims are expected at 411k vs. 391k previously.
Euro (EUR) – The Euro rose against most currencies and was firm against the US Dollar amid optimism about a possible solution to the debt crisis; after Germany said that the bailout fund can be used to recover struggling banks. Retail Sales came out -0.3% worse than the expected -0.2%. Trading below the resistance level of 1.3480 will keep the momentum of the pair negative, but if the pair breaks above this resistance level, it may reach the 1.4060 level again. Overall, the EUR/USD traded with a low of 1.3260 and with a high of 1.3383. Today, the Interest Rate Decision is expected to remain unchanged at 1.5%. Soon after, the ECB Press Conference is expected, and it might determine further trends for the European Currency.
EUR/USD – Last: 1.3331
| Resistance |
1.3350 |
1.3400 |
1.3460 |
| Support |
1.3300 |
1.3240 |
1.3150 |
British Pound (GBP) – The British Pound fell against the US Dollar on speculation that the Bank of England will encourage its program of bond purchases, or Quantitative Easing, at the policy meeting which is expected today. The GBPUSD pair made several attempts to breach the 1.5490 level but failed and remained capped. The Services PMI came out at 52.9, better than the expected 50.6. The trend for the pair remains bearish if it maintains its resistance level of 1.5730, but if the pair breaks that resistance it may reach the 1.5950 level again. Overall, the GBP/USD traded with a low of 1.5393 and with a high of 1.5492. Today, the Interest Rate Decision is expected to remain unchanged at 0.5%. Soon after, the MPC Rate Statement is expected, and it might determine further trends for the Cable.
GBP/USD – Last: 1.5425
| Resistance |
1.5490 |
1.5550 |
1.5600 |
| Support |
1.5420 |
1.5380 |
1.5340 |
Japanese Yen (JPY) – The US Dollar traded unchanged against the Japanese Yen after the pair did not succeed to break its resistance level of 77.00. Technically, trading below the 76.80 level will keep the trend bearish and the pair may test its support of 76.30. Today, no economic data is expected.
USD/JPY – Last: 76.73
| Resistance |
76.80 |
77.00 |
77.20 |
| Support |
76.55 |
76.30 |
76.10 |
Canadian Dollar (CAD) – The Canadian Dollar gained for a second day against the Greenback as an improvement in market sentiment weakened the US Dollar across the board and Black Gold prices soared, supporting the Loonie. Holding below the resistance area of 1.0500 keeps the momentum bearish for the pair. Overall, the USD/CAD traded with a low of 1.0394 and with a high of 1.0569. Today, the Building Permits are expected at 0.6% vs. 6.3% previously. The Ivey PMI is expected at 58.2 vs. 57.6 previously.
USD/CAD – Last: 1.0425
| Resistance |
1.0480 |
1.0570 |
1.0650 |
| Support |
1.0370 |
1.0280 |
1.0200 |
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Posted by admin on October 4, 2011 under forex market |
USD Dollar (USD) – In forex trading, the US Dollar strengthened against most major currencies as concern about Europe’s debt crisis overshadowed higher-than-estimated U.S. economic data. Treasury bonds rallied as the Federal Reserve bought longer-term debt. At the same time, the ISM Manufacturing PMI in the U.S. came out at 51.60 vs. the forecast 50.50. The ISM shows the economy is growing slowly, but not going into a recession. Wall Street closed negative as the NASDAQ fell by 3.29% and the Dow Jones declined by 2.36% due to high concern over the Greek debt crisis and Bank of America Corp. Crude oil fell by 2.68%, the lowest level in more than a year and closed at $76.20 a barrel on concern that Greece will default on debt payments, leading to slower global economic growth and lower fuel consumption. Gold (XAU) trade rose by 1.90%, closing at $1,661 an ounce. Today, Fed Chairman Bernanke is expected to speak and Factory Orders are expected to grow by 0.20% vs. 2.40% previously.
Euro (EUR)–The Euro fell to a 10-month low against the U.S Dollar and to more than a decade low against the Yen as risk aversion intensifies and stocks extend losses on Wall Street. In addition, the incoming European Central Bank President, Mario Draghi, said a lack of confidence may be among the reasons for lenders’ “funding problem”. Trading below the resistance level of 1.3480 will keep the momentum of the pair negative, but if the pair breaks above this resistance level, it may reach the 1.4060 level again. Overall, the EUR/USD traded with a low of 1.3162 and with a high of 1.3380. Today, ECB President Trichet is expected to speak.
EUR/USD – Last: 1.3195
| Resistance |
1.3220 |
1.3300 |
1.3400 |
| Support |
1.3150 |
1.3080 |
1.3000 |
British Pound (GBP) – The British Pound fell for a second day against the Greenback after traders judged a surprise expansion of U.K. manufacturing as insufficient to keep the Bank of England from providing further stimulus for the economy. The trend for the pair remains bearish if it maintains its resistance level of 1.5730, but if the pair breaks that resistance it may reach the 1.5950 level again. Overall, the GBP/USD traded with a low of 1.5420 and with a high of 1.5582. Today, the Halifax HPI is expected to grow by 0.30% vs. -1.20% previously and the Construction PMI is expected to show 51.70 vs. 52.60 previously.
GBP/USD – Last: 1.5430
| Resistance |
1.5500 |
1.5550 |
1.5600 |
| Support |
1.5420 |
1.5380 |
1.5340 |
Japanese Yen (JPY) – The US Dollar fell against the Japanese Yen after the Bank of Japan said today that its’ quarterly Tankan Index of Sentiment increased to 2 in September from minus 9 in June. Technically, trading below the 76.80 level will keep the trend bearish and the pair may test its support of 76.30. Today, no economic data is expected.
USD/JPY – Last: 76.70
| Resistance |
76.80 |
77.00 |
77.20 |
| Support |
76.30 |
76.00 |
|
Canadian Dollar (CAD)–The Canadian Dollar fell the most since October 2008 as Europe’s finance leaders prepared to weigh the risk of a Greek debt default. As a result Canadian stocks fell, led by energy companies and banks. The trend for the pair will continue to be bullish if the pair maintains its support level of 1.0350. Today, no economic data is expected.
USD/CAD – Last: 1.0550
| Resistance |
1.0600 |
1.0680 |
1.0760 |
| Support |
1.0480 |
1.0400 |
1.0350 |
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