Posted by admin on October 24, 2011 under forex market |
USD Dollar (USD) – In forex trading, the US Dollar fell versus most major currencies on hopes that the European debt crisis is closer to being resolved. Rumors and headlines currently steer the market as traders try to predict the next step, which will be announced by European leaders. Wall Street finished strongly, with the NASDAQ gaining by 1.49% and the Dow Jones by 2.31%. Crude oil gained by 1.55% and closed at $87.40 a barrel. Gold (XAU) strengthened by 1.44%, closing at $1,635 an ounce. Today no major economic data is expected.
Euro (EUR) – The Euro gained versus the US Dollar on Friday over optimism that European leaders are closer to an agreement on a plan to stop the debt crisis. The momentum of the EUR/USD is still bullish facing resistance at 1.3910. If this resistance is breached the pair could rally strongly. The support level, according the daily chart, is located at the 1.3670 level. Overall, the EUR/USD traded with a low of 1.3703 and with a high of 1.3900. Today, the French and German Manufacturing and Services PMI will be released. Industrial New Orders are expected to rise by 0.1%.
EUR/USD – Last: 1.3850
| Resistance |
1.3910 |
1.3980 |
1.4000 |
| Support |
1.3770 |
1.3720 |
1.3650 |
British Pound (GBP) – The British Pound rallied versus the US Dollar reaching a 6 week high after the Public Sector Net Borrowing showed a smaller deficit than expected. It came out at 11.4B better than the expected 12.0B. The trend for the pair remains bullish if it maintains its support level of 1.5850, but if the pair breaks that support it may reach the 1.5430 level again. Overall, the GBP/USD traded with a low of 1.5752 and a high of 1.5972. Today, MPC Member Paul Tucker will speak at the European Commission Conference in Brussels.
GBP/USD – Last: 1.5960
| Resistance |
1.6000 |
1.6040 |
1.6080 |
| Support |
1.5910 |
1.5850 |
1.5800 |
Japanese Yen (JPY) – The Yen reached its strongest level versus the Dollar since 1946 (Post World War 2) as speculation regarding further monetary easing by the Federal Reserve rose. Market participants speculated that the Japanese government will struggle to curtail the currency’s gains. Technically, the USD/JPY is trading within a narrow range with no clear long term trend. The pair attempted to break below the support level of 76.00, but failed to remain below it. Today no major economic data is expected to come out from Japan.
USD/JPY – Last: 76.20
| Resistance |
76.60 |
77.00 |
77.20 |
| Support |
76.00 |
75.80 |
|
Canadian Dollar (CAD) – The Canadian Dollar increased against the Greenback as Commodities rose following positive momentum in the markets bringing increased demand for higher yielding assets. The BOC will announce its interest rate decision tomorrow (Tuesday). The interest rate is expected to remain unchanged at 1% but rumors could affect the currency’s movement. The trend for the pair remains bearish with a strong resistance level of 1.0250, according to the daily chart. No economic data is expected today.
USD/CAD – Last: 1.0055
| Resistance |
1.0080 |
1.0150 |
1.0250 |
| Support |
1.0000 |
0.9950 |
0.9900 |
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Posted by admin on October 18, 2011 under forex market |
USD Dollar (USD) – In forex trading, the US Dollar rose against the major currencies as global stocks and commodities remain lower after Germany’s declaration about Europe’s debt crisis, which stated that there’s no quick fix to the crisis. This led investors to prefer the US Dollar as a safe haven investment. Wall Street closed negative as the NASDAQ decreased by 1.98% and the Dow Jones by 2.13% respectively. Crude oil weakened by 0.5%, closing at $86.38 a barrel. Gold (XAU) declined by 0.52%, finishing at $1671.83 an ounce. Today, the PPI is expected to strengthen from 0.0% to 0.2%. TIC Long Term Purchases are expected to rise from 9.5B to 27.8B and the Federal Chairman Bernanke is expected to speak.
Euro (EUR) – The Euro weakened against the US Dollar as Germany signaled that Europe may take longer to contain its sovereign debt crisis. This put on hold investments into higher yielding assets. The EUR/USD’s momentum became bearish after breaking the 1.3850 level, the next support level on the one hour chart is located at the 1.3700 level. The RSI indicator is trading within the negative range, which supports a downtrend. Overall, the EUR/USD traded with a low of 1.3724 and with a high of 1.3914. Today, the German ZEW Economic Sentiment is expected to be -44.8 vs. -43.3 previously and the ZEW Economic Sentiment is at -45.1 vs.-44.6 previously.
EUR/USD – Last: 1.3773
| Resistance |
1.3800 |
1.3835 |
1.3900 |
| Support |
1.3725 |
1.3685 |
1.3590 |
British Pound (GBP) – The British Pound weakened versus the US Dollar following Germany’s comments about Europe’s sovereign debt crisis. The GBP\USD’s trend has been halted and if the pair breaks up at the1.5800 level, the Pound will be bullish again. Overall, the GBP/USD traded with a low of 1.5731 and with a high of 1.5847. Today, the CPI is expected to rise from 4.5% to 4.9% and the Core CPI is expected to be at 3.2% vs. 3.1% previously. The BOE Governor King is expected to speak.
GBP/USD – Last: 1.5803
| Resistance |
1.5820 |
1.5855 |
|
| Support |
1.5735 |
1.5665 |
1.5540 |
Japanese Yen (JPY) – The Yen rallied against the major currencies as risk appetite remains low, which led investors to stick with the Yen as a refuge currency. The USD/JPY still remains within the 76.50 – 77.50 level and as long as the pair remains between these levels the trend continues to be unclear. Overall, the USD/JPY traded with a low of 76.61 and with a high of 77.45. No economic data is expected today.
USD/JPY-Last: 76.81
| Resistance |
77.00 |
77.20 |
77.40 |
| Support |
76.60 |
76.40 |
|
Canadian dollar (CAD) – The Canadian Dollar weakened versus the US Dollar on declines in stocks and Crude Oil, which caused the US currency to be more attractive as a refuge currency. As long as the pair is trading above the 1.0200 level the US Dollar continues to be the favorite. The Moving Average Indicator on the one hour chart supports a bullish trend as well. The next resistance level on the one hour chart is located at the 1.0280 level. Overall, the USD/CAD traded with a low of 1.0043 and with a high of 1.0239. No economic data is expected today.
USD/CAD – Last: 1.0216
| Resistance |
1.0240 |
1.0275 |
1.0330 |
| Support |
1.0180 |
1.0130 |
1.0050 |
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Posted by admin on October 11, 2011 under forex market |
USD Dollar (USD) – In forex trading, the US Dollar fell versus most of the major’s counterparts as global stocks advanced, sapping demand for the Greenback as a haven currency, causing investors to prefer higher yielding assets. Wall Street closed positive as the NASDAQ advanced by 3.50% and the Dow Jones rose by 2.97% on optimism that Europe will address its debt crisis and after improvement in American economic data. Crude oil climbed to the highest level in two weeks by 2.80% and closed at $85.40 a barrel due to signs that demand will increase. Gold (XAU) jumped by 2.38%, closing at $1,675 an ounce. No economic data is expected today.
Euro (EUR) – The Euro strengthened the most in more than a year versus the US Dollar after French and German leaders pledged to deliver a plan to support banks and repeated a commitment to keep Greece in the single-currency bloc. The leaders promised that they will deliver a plan to recapitalize the region’s banks and address the Greek crisis by the 3rd of November. After the announcement, optimism rose in the market. Therefore the Euro stayed higher even as a report showed European investor confidence fell to the lowest in more than two years. Trading below the resistance level of 1.3700 will keep the momentum of the pair negative, but if the pair breaks above this resistance level, it may reach the 1.4060 level again. Overall, the EUR/USD traded with a low of 1.3377 and with a high of 1.3697. Today, the ECB President, Trichet is expected to speak.
EUR/USD – Last: 1.3630
| Resistance |
1.3700 |
1.3780 |
1.3850 |
| Support |
1.3600 |
1.3520 |
1.3450 |
British Pound (GBP) – The British Pound gained versus the US Dollar after German Chancellor Angela Merkel and French President Nicholas Sarkozy’s announcement that they will deliver a plan to recapitalize the region’s banks and address the Greek crisis. The trend for the pair remains bearish if it maintains its resistance level of 1.5730, but if the pair breaks that resistance level it may reach the 1.5950 level again. Overall, the GBP/USD traded with a low of 1.5422 and with a high of 1.5645. Today, Manufacturing Production is expected to decline by -0.10% vs. 0.10% previously.
GBP/USD – Last: 1.5630
| Resistance |
1.5670 |
1.5730 |
1.5780 |
| Support |
1.5580 |
1.5550 |
1.5500 |
Japanese Yen (JPY) – The Yen strengthened versus the US Dollar and most majors due to positive economic data. The Current Account came out better than the expected 0.65T vs. the 0.51T forecast. Technically, the USD/JPY is trading within a narrow range with no clear long term trend. If the pair breaks below the 76.00 level, the trend will continue downwards. Tomorrow, Core Machinery Orders are expected to grow by 4.5% vs. -8.2% previously.
USD/JPY – Last: 76.60
| Resistance |
77.00 |
77.20 |
77.80 |
| Support |
76.60 |
76.30 |
76.00 |
Canadian Dollar (CAD) – The Canadian Dollar strengthened against its US counterpart as stocks and commodities, such as crude oil, advanced on speculation that debt concern in Europe may ease, making higher-yielding currencies more attractive. The trend for the pair is bearish, if the pair maintains its resistance level of 1.0330. Today, Housing Starts are expected to grow by 187k vs. 185k previously.
USD/CAD – Last: 1.0290
| Resistance |
1.0330 |
1.0400 |
1.0450 |
| Support |
1.0280 |
1.0230 |
1.0180 |
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