Posted by admin on October 11, 2011 under forex market | 
USD Dollar (USD) – In forex trading, the US Dollar fell versus most of the major’s counterparts as global stocks advanced, sapping demand for the Greenback as a haven currency, causing investors to prefer higher yielding assets. Wall Street closed positive as the NASDAQ advanced by 3.50% and the Dow Jones rose by 2.97% on optimism that Europe will address its debt crisis and after improvement in American economic data. Crude oil climbed to the highest level in two weeks by 2.80% and closed at $85.40 a barrel due to signs that demand will increase. Gold (XAU) jumped by 2.38%, closing at $1,675 an ounce. No economic data is expected today.
Euro (EUR) – The Euro strengthened the most in more than a year versus the US Dollar after French and German leaders pledged to deliver a plan to support banks and repeated a commitment to keep Greece in the single-currency bloc. The leaders promised that they will deliver a plan to recapitalize the region’s banks and address the Greek crisis by the 3rd of November. After the announcement, optimism rose in the market. Therefore the Euro stayed higher even as a report showed European investor confidence fell to the lowest in more than two years. Trading below the resistance level of 1.3700 will keep the momentum of the pair negative, but if the pair breaks above this resistance level, it may reach the 1.4060 level again. Overall, the EUR/USD traded with a low of 1.3377 and with a high of 1.3697. Today, the ECB President, Trichet is expected to speak.
EUR/USD – Last: 1.3630
| Resistance |
1.3700 |
1.3780 |
1.3850 |
| Support |
1.3600 |
1.3520 |
1.3450 |
British Pound (GBP) – The British Pound gained versus the US Dollar after German Chancellor Angela Merkel and French President Nicholas Sarkozy’s announcement that they will deliver a plan to recapitalize the region’s banks and address the Greek crisis. The trend for the pair remains bearish if it maintains its resistance level of 1.5730, but if the pair breaks that resistance level it may reach the 1.5950 level again. Overall, the GBP/USD traded with a low of 1.5422 and with a high of 1.5645. Today, Manufacturing Production is expected to decline by -0.10% vs. 0.10% previously.
GBP/USD – Last: 1.5630
| Resistance |
1.5670 |
1.5730 |
1.5780 |
| Support |
1.5580 |
1.5550 |
1.5500 |
Japanese Yen (JPY) – The Yen strengthened versus the US Dollar and most majors due to positive economic data. The Current Account came out better than the expected 0.65T vs. the 0.51T forecast. Technically, the USD/JPY is trading within a narrow range with no clear long term trend. If the pair breaks below the 76.00 level, the trend will continue downwards. Tomorrow, Core Machinery Orders are expected to grow by 4.5% vs. -8.2% previously.
USD/JPY – Last: 76.60
| Resistance |
77.00 |
77.20 |
77.80 |
| Support |
76.60 |
76.30 |
76.00 |
Canadian Dollar (CAD) – The Canadian Dollar strengthened against its US counterpart as stocks and commodities, such as crude oil, advanced on speculation that debt concern in Europe may ease, making higher-yielding currencies more attractive. The trend for the pair is bearish, if the pair maintains its resistance level of 1.0330. Today, Housing Starts are expected to grow by 187k vs. 185k previously.
USD/CAD – Last: 1.0290
| Resistance |
1.0330 |
1.0400 |
1.0450 |
| Support |
1.0280 |
1.0230 |
1.0180 |
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Posted by admin on October 10, 2011 under forex market |
USD Dollar (USD) – In forex trading, the US Dollar fell versus most of the majors after better than expected Payrolls data lowered risk aversion and caused investors to prefer higher yielding assets. Non Farms Payrolls came out with a 103K increase from 57K last month and a 55K forecast. Wall Street couldn’t sustain early gains and finished in the red as the NASDAQ declined by 1.1% and the Dow Jones declined by 0.18%. Crude oil gained by 0.11% and closed at $83.07 a barrel. Gold (XAU) weakened by -0.76%, closing at $1,636.10 an ounce. Today is Columbus Day, a Bank Holiday in the USA and low liquidity and irregular volatility are expected.
Euro (EUR) – The Euro strengthened versus the US Dollar after French and German leaders pledged to deliver a plan in three weeks to recapitalize banks and reiterated their intention to keep Greece within the Euro. This occurred, despite Fitch Ratings cutting Italy’s rating to A+ from AA- and Spain’s rating from AA+ to AA-. Additionally, Portugal is expected to become the next country to be downgraded. Trading below the resistance level of 1.3500 will keep the momentum of the pair negative, but if the pair breaks above this resistance level, it may reach the 1.4060 level again. Overall, the EUR/USD traded with a low of 1.3360 and with a high of 1.3524. Today, the German Trade Balance is expected at 9.8B versus 10.10B previously and the French and Italian Industrial Production will be released.
EUR/USD – Last: 1.3460
| Resistance |
1.3500 |
1.3525 |
1.3570 |
| Support |
1.3410 |
1.3350 |
1.3280 |
British Pound (GBP) – The British Pound gained versus the US Dollar after better than expected Payrolls data in the U.S spurred demand for higher yielding assets. The Pound retraced most of its gains later during the trading session. MPC Member, Weale, said on Sunday that the Bank of England is likely to increase asset purchases even further than the 275 Billion Pounds, which was announced on Thursday. The trend for the pair remains bearish if it maintains its resistance level of 1.5730, but if the pair breaks that resistance it may reach the 1.5950 level again. Overall, the GBP/USD traded with a low of 1.5422 and with a high of 1.5645. No economic data is expected today.
GBP/USD – Last: 1.5610
| Resistance |
1.5670 |
1.5730 |
1.5780 |
| Support |
1.5580 |
1.5550 |
1.5500 |
Japanese Yen (JPY) – The Yen finished lower versus the US Dollar and most majors after better than expected Non Farm Payrolls in the US spurred investors toward higher yielding assets. The Bank of Japan made no changes in its monetary policy by leaving rates unchanged, and stated that there is an increasing risk of a global slowdown. Technically, the USD/JPY is trading within a narrow range with no clear long term trend. If the pair breaks below the 76.00 level, the trend will continue downwards. Today is a Bank Holiday in Japan which can lead to abnormally low or high volatility.
USD/JPY – Last: 76.80
| Resistance |
77.00 |
77.20 |
77.80 |
| Support |
76.60 |
76.30 |
76.00 |
Canadian Dollar (CAD) – The Canadian Dollar finished unchanged versus the US Dollar on Friday. The Employment Change was 60.9K better than the expected 15.2K and the Unemployment Rate was also better than expected with 7.1% versus 7.3%. Positive economic data caused the Canadian Dollar to strengthen to a one-week high versus the U.S Dollar, but a 103K in Non Farm Payrolls helped the US Dollar bounce back. The trend for the pair will continue to be bullish if the pair maintains its support level of 1.0280. Today is a Bank Holiday in Canada in observance of Thanksgiving Day and the market is expected to be low on liquidity which could lead to abnormal volatility.
USD/CAD – Last: 1.0340
| Resistance |
1.0400 |
1.0450 |
1.0480 |
| Support |
1.0320 |
1.0280 |
1.0240 |
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Posted by admin on October 4, 2011 under forex market |
USD Dollar (USD) – In forex trading, the US Dollar strengthened against most major currencies as concern about Europe’s debt crisis overshadowed higher-than-estimated U.S. economic data. Treasury bonds rallied as the Federal Reserve bought longer-term debt. At the same time, the ISM Manufacturing PMI in the U.S. came out at 51.60 vs. the forecast 50.50. The ISM shows the economy is growing slowly, but not going into a recession. Wall Street closed negative as the NASDAQ fell by 3.29% and the Dow Jones declined by 2.36% due to high concern over the Greek debt crisis and Bank of America Corp. Crude oil fell by 2.68%, the lowest level in more than a year and closed at $76.20 a barrel on concern that Greece will default on debt payments, leading to slower global economic growth and lower fuel consumption. Gold (XAU) trade rose by 1.90%, closing at $1,661 an ounce. Today, Fed Chairman Bernanke is expected to speak and Factory Orders are expected to grow by 0.20% vs. 2.40% previously.
Euro (EUR)–The Euro fell to a 10-month low against the U.S Dollar and to more than a decade low against the Yen as risk aversion intensifies and stocks extend losses on Wall Street. In addition, the incoming European Central Bank President, Mario Draghi, said a lack of confidence may be among the reasons for lenders’ “funding problem”. Trading below the resistance level of 1.3480 will keep the momentum of the pair negative, but if the pair breaks above this resistance level, it may reach the 1.4060 level again. Overall, the EUR/USD traded with a low of 1.3162 and with a high of 1.3380. Today, ECB President Trichet is expected to speak.
EUR/USD – Last: 1.3195
| Resistance |
1.3220 |
1.3300 |
1.3400 |
| Support |
1.3150 |
1.3080 |
1.3000 |
British Pound (GBP) – The British Pound fell for a second day against the Greenback after traders judged a surprise expansion of U.K. manufacturing as insufficient to keep the Bank of England from providing further stimulus for the economy. The trend for the pair remains bearish if it maintains its resistance level of 1.5730, but if the pair breaks that resistance it may reach the 1.5950 level again. Overall, the GBP/USD traded with a low of 1.5420 and with a high of 1.5582. Today, the Halifax HPI is expected to grow by 0.30% vs. -1.20% previously and the Construction PMI is expected to show 51.70 vs. 52.60 previously.
GBP/USD – Last: 1.5430
| Resistance |
1.5500 |
1.5550 |
1.5600 |
| Support |
1.5420 |
1.5380 |
1.5340 |
Japanese Yen (JPY) – The US Dollar fell against the Japanese Yen after the Bank of Japan said today that its’ quarterly Tankan Index of Sentiment increased to 2 in September from minus 9 in June. Technically, trading below the 76.80 level will keep the trend bearish and the pair may test its support of 76.30. Today, no economic data is expected.
USD/JPY – Last: 76.70
| Resistance |
76.80 |
77.00 |
77.20 |
| Support |
76.30 |
76.00 |
|
Canadian Dollar (CAD)–The Canadian Dollar fell the most since October 2008 as Europe’s finance leaders prepared to weigh the risk of a Greek debt default. As a result Canadian stocks fell, led by energy companies and banks. The trend for the pair will continue to be bullish if the pair maintains its support level of 1.0350. Today, no economic data is expected.
USD/CAD – Last: 1.0550
| Resistance |
1.0600 |
1.0680 |
1.0760 |
| Support |
1.0480 |
1.0400 |
1.0350 |
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