UFXBank Daily News: Crude Oil falls to $76.20, Gold rises to $1,661

Posted by admin on October 4, 2011 under forex market | Be the First to Comment

USD Dollar (USD) – In forex trading, the US Dollar strengthened against most major currencies as concern about Europe’s debt crisis overshadowed higher-than-estimated U.S. economic data. Treasury bonds rallied as the Federal Reserve bought longer-term debt. At the same time, the ISM Manufacturing PMI in the U.S. came out at 51.60 vs. the forecast 50.50. The ISM shows the economy is growing slowly, but not going into a recession. Wall Street closed negative as the NASDAQ fell by 3.29% and the Dow Jones declined by 2.36% due to high concern over the Greek debt crisis and Bank of America Corp. Crude oil fell by 2.68%, the lowest level in more than a year and closed at $76.20 a barrel on concern that Greece will default on debt payments, leading to slower global economic growth and lower fuel consumption. Gold (XAU) trade rose by 1.90%, closing at $1,661 an ounce. Today, Fed Chairman Bernanke is expected to speak and Factory Orders are expected to grow by 0.20% vs. 2.40% previously.

Euro (EUR)–The Euro fell to a 10-month low against the U.S Dollar and to more than a decade low against the Yen as risk aversion intensifies and stocks extend losses on Wall Street. In addition, the incoming European Central Bank President, Mario Draghi, said a lack of confidence may be among the reasons for lenders’ “funding problem”. Trading below the resistance level of 1.3480 will keep the momentum of the pair negative, but if the pair breaks above this resistance level, it may reach the 1.4060 level again. Overall, the EUR/USD traded with a low of 1.3162 and with a high of 1.3380. Today, ECB President Trichet is expected to speak.

EUR/USD – Last: 1.3195

Resistance 1.3220 1.3300 1.3400
Support 1.3150 1.3080 1.3000

British Pound (GBP) – The British Pound fell for a second day against the Greenback after traders judged a surprise expansion of U.K. manufacturing as insufficient to keep the Bank of England from providing further stimulus for the economy. The trend for the pair remains bearish if it maintains its resistance level of 1.5730, but if the pair breaks that resistance it may reach the 1.5950 level again. Overall, the GBP/USD traded with a low of 1.5420 and with a high of 1.5582. Today, the Halifax HPI is expected to grow by 0.30% vs. -1.20% previously and the Construction PMI is expected to show 51.70 vs. 52.60 previously.

GBP/USD – Last: 1.5430

Resistance 1.5500 1.5550 1.5600
Support 1.5420 1.5380 1.5340

Japanese Yen (JPY) – The US Dollar fell against the Japanese Yen after the Bank of Japan said today that its’ quarterly Tankan Index of Sentiment increased to 2 in September from minus 9 in June. Technically, trading below the 76.80 level will keep the trend bearish and the pair may test its support of 76.30. Today, no economic data is expected.

USD/JPY – Last: 76.70

Resistance 76.80 77.00 77.20
Support 76.30 76.00

 

Canadian Dollar (CAD)The Canadian Dollar fell the most since October 2008 as Europe’s finance leaders prepared to weigh the risk of a Greek debt default. As a result Canadian stocks fell, led by energy companies and banks. The trend for the pair will continue to be bullish if the pair maintains its support level of 1.0350. Today, no economic data is expected.

USD/CAD – Last: 1.0550

Resistance 1.0600 1.0680 1.0760
Support 1.0480 1.0400 1.0350
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UFXBank Daily News: Operation Twist Increases Appeal of USD as Safe Haven Currency

Posted by admin on September 22, 2011 under forex market | Be the First to Comment

USD Dollar (USD) – In forex trading, the US Dollar strengthened against most of the major currencies after the Federal Reserve’s plan to shift holdings of treasuries to keep the economy from falling into recession. This increased the refuge appeal of the currency. In addition, the FOMC left the rate benchmark unchanged at <0.25%. The Fed plan, called Operation Twist, involves buying $400 billion of bonds with maturities of six to 30 years through June and selling an equal amount of debt maturing in three years or less. It was mentioned in the Fed statement that “There are significant downside risks to the economic outlook, including strains in global financial markets”. As a result the safe-haven currency rose. Earlier today Moody’s Investors Service downgraded the debt rating of Bank of America Corp and Wells Fargo & Co. Moody’s analysts wrote in the report that U.S. support has become less likely if lenders get into financial trouble. Wall Street closed negative as the NASDAQ fell by 2.01% and the Dow Jones declined by 2.49%. Crude oil fell by 2.50% and closed at $84.70 a barrel on concern that slowing economic growth in the U.S will crimp fuel consumption by the world’s biggest crude oil consumer. Gold (XAU) declined by 1.40%, closing at $1,784 an ounce as the US Dollar’s rally eroded demand for the metal as an alternative investment. Today, the Unemployment Claims are expected to rise by 419K vs. 428k previously.

Euro (EUR)–The Euro fell against the U.S Dollar due to a decrease in risk aversion after the Fed announced Operation Twist, which includes measures to support the mortgage market. Trading below the resistance level of 1.3800 will keep the momentum of the pair negative, but if the pair breaks above this resistance level, it may reach the 1.4060 level again. Overall, the EUR/USD traded with a low of 1.3556 and with a high of 1.3796. Today, the German Flash Manufacturing PMI is expected to show 50.20 vs. 50.90 previously. The Flash Manufacturing PMI is expected to show 48.60 vs. 49.00 previously and Industrial New Orders are expected to decline to 1.10% vs. -0.90% previously.

EUR/USD – Last: 1.3540

Resistance 1.3600 1.3680 1.3750
Support 1.3480 1.3430 1.3380

British Pound (GBP) – The British Pound fell to an 8 week low against the Greenback after Bank of England officials said they may need to buy more bonds to keep borrowing costs capped as the recovery falters.The trend for the pair remains bearish if the pair maintains its resistance level of 1.5670, but if the pair breaks that resistance it may reach the 1.5950 level again. Overall, the GBP/USD traded with a low of 1.5475 and with a high of 1.5688. Today, the CBI Industrial Order Expectations are expected to show -5 vs. 1 previously.

GBP/USD – Last: 1.5450

Resistance 1.5500 1.5600 1.5670
Support 1.5400 1.5320 1.5200

Japanese Yen (JPY) – The US Dollar strengthened against the Yen after Japanese Finance Minister, Azumi, told reporters in Tokyo today that he’s closely watching markets and will take “bold” action on currencies if needed. Technically, trading above 76.60 will keep the trend bullish. No economic data is expected today.

USD/JPY-Last: 76.80

Resistance 77.20 78.00 78.50
Support 76.60 76.30 76.00

 

Canadian Dollar (CAD)The Canadian Dollar fell to its weakest level versus its U.S. counterpart since January after the Fed announced Operation Twist. The currency, which is linked to Commodities, lost ground as risk aversion has been the theme of the day amid weak stocks and crude oil losses. The trend for the pair will continue to be bullish if the pair maintains its support level of 1.0000. Today, Retail Sales are expected to fall to -0.20% vs. 0.70% previously.

USD/CAD – Last: 1.1030

Resistance 1.170 1.0200
Support 1.100 1.0080 1.0050
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UFXBank Daily News: USD Rises Against All Other Majors

Posted by admin on September 12, 2011 under forex market | Be the First to Comment

USD Dollar (USD)

In forex trading, the Dollar gained across the board as the Debt Crisis in Greece and Juergen Stark’s, a member of the Executive Board, quit from his ECB post over the bank’s purchases of bonds pushed investors for risk aversion and favored the greenback. The Stock Markets reacted sharply negative as the Dow Jones was crushed by -2.69% and the NASDAQ lost -2.42%. Crude oil declined by -2% and closed at $87.20 a barrel. Gold (XAU) has slightly strengthened by 0.1% and closed at $1,859.50 an ounce. No economic news is expected to be published today.

Euro (EUR)

The Euro was crushed against the US Dollar on speculation that the ECB will cut interest rates based on the fact that the region’s debt crisis is worsening and increasing interest rates is not seen as an option in the midterm. Breaking the next support level of 1.3640 might push the pair lower to the 1.34 zones; otherwise a rebound to the 1.38 areas might be seen. Overall, the EUR/USD traded with a low of 1.3626 and with a high of 1.3936. Today, no major economic news is expected to be published.

EUR/USD – Last: 1.3593

Resistance 1.3640 1.3970 1.3870
Support 1.3570

British Pound (GBP)

The Pound buckled under the buying pressure of the US Dollar and fell below the 1.59 zones. The disappointing data of the PPI Input came out at -1.9% worse than the expected -1.6%. Breaking the next support level of 1.5830 might push the pair lower to the 1.56 zones; otherwise a rebound to the 1.6 areas might be seen. Overall, the GBP/USD traded with a low of 1.5842 and with a high of 1.5989. Today, no economic news is expected to be published.

GBP/USD – Last: 1.5858

Resistance 1.5900 1.5990 1.6070
Support 1.5820

Japanese Yen (JPY)

The Yen weakened against the US Dollar as a positive US Dollar trend caused the Yen to be less attractive to traders. The USD/JPY’s trend is positive above the 77.00 areas; the next resistance point on the daily chart lies at the 77.75 levels. When the pair breaches this level a long position will be preferred. Overall, the USD/JPY traded with a low of 77.08 and with a high of 77.84. Today, no economic news is expected to be published.

USD/JPY-Last: 77.48

Resistance 77.80 78.40
Support 77.10 76.40

Canadian dollar (CAD)

The Canadian Dollar fell for the second day versus the US Dollar as the Stock Markets dropped and led investors to stick with the US Dollar as a refuge. The disappointing economic data in Canada (published as the Employment Change) came out at -5.5k worse, than the expected 24.2k also supported the greenback. Holding above the support level of 0.9940 might push the pair back to parity. Overall, the USD/CAD traded with a low of 0.9867 and with a high of 0.9977.  Today, no economic news is expected to be published.

USD/CAD – Last: 0.9982

Resistance 1.0000
Support 0.9910 0.9830 0.9740

 

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