Posted by admin on September 7, 2011 under forex market |
USD Dollar (USD) – In forex trading, the dollar strengthened against most of the major currencies due to an increase in demand for a safe haven currency and growing risk aversion among investors after the Swiss Central Bank imposed a ceiling on the currency’s exchange rate. Despite the Dollar’s own woes – economic and political – it remains the most widespread used fiat currency on the planet. Now, as the European crisis takes the stage for another act in the sovereign debt problem, a need for safety has emerged. In addition, the ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI expanded by 53.3 vs. the 51.20 forecasted, easing concern that the biggest part of the U.S. economy was slumping. The Stock Markets closed the week negative as the Dow Jones fell by 0.90% and the NASDAQ lost 0.26%. Crude oil jumped by 3.80% and closed at $86.45 a barrel as a drop in the US dollar – following Switzerland’s attempt to cap the value of its currency – made raw materials more attractive to investors. Gold (XAU) fell from a record by 1.36%, closing at $1,876 an ounce as some investors sold metal to make up for losses in the Swiss franc after the country’s Central Bank imposed a ceiling to the exchange rate. Today, the Beige Book is expected to be released.
Euro (EUR) – The Euro fell for a sixth day against the U.S. Dollar due to growing risk aversion among investors. The European Central Bank is expected to meet tomorrow. European economic data is underperforming by the most since March 2009 and it will probably effect the ECB decision. Trading below the resistance level of 1.4180 will keep the momentum negative for the pair, but if the pair breaks above this resistance level, it may reach to 1.4350 levels again. Overall, the EUR/USD traded with a low of 1.3971 and with a high of 1.4285. Today, the German Industrial Production is expected to grow by 0.60% vs. 1.10% previously.
EUR/USD – Last: 1.4030
| Resistance |
1.4050 |
1.4100 |
1.4180 |
| Support |
1.4000 |
1.3970 |
1.3900 |
British Pound (GBP) – The Pound fell to a seven-week low against the greenback after a report showed that U.K. retail sales dropped by 0.60%, boosting the case for further economic stimulus measures. Such an action will probably keep the British Pound weaker in the long-term against a broad spectrum of currencies. The trend for the pair remains bearish if the pair maintains the resistance level of 1.6200, but if the pair breaks that resistance it may reach 1.6320. Overall, the GBP/USD traded with a low of 1.5920 and with a high of 1.6208. Today, the Manufacturing Production is expected to grow by 0.10% vs. -0.40% previously.
GBP/USD – Last: 1.5980
| Resistance |
1.6020 |
1.6080 |
1.6120 |
| Support |
1.5950 |
1.5900 |
1.5860 |
Japanese Yen (JPY) – The US dollar strengthened against the Yen after yesterday’s move by the SNB to announce a floor of 1.2000 for the EUR/CHF pair prompted speculations that the BoJ may follow and announce a similar action. Trading above the support level of 77.20 will keep the trend bullish for this pair. Today, no economic data is expected.
USD/JPY-Last: 77.40
| Resistance |
77.60 |
78.00 |
78.50 |
| Support |
77.20 |
77.00 |
76.30 |
Swiss Franc (CHF) – The Swiss Franc dropped the most it ever has against the Euro and the US Dollar, after the Swiss Central Bank imposed a ceiling on the currency’s exchange rate and said it will defend the target with the “utmost determination.” The trend for the pair will continue to be bullish if the pair will maintain the support level of 0.8500. Today, no economic data is expected.
USD/CHF – Last: 0.8590
| Resistance |
0.8610 |
0.8700 |
0.8800 |
| Support |
0.8540 |
0.8500 |
0.8450 |
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Posted by admin on August 25, 2011 under forex market |
USD Dollar (USD) – In forex trading, the US Dollar gained against the other major currencies after Orders for Durable Goods in the U.S. increased to 4%, twice as much as was estimated (4.00% vs. the 2.1% expected) and speculation regarding Bernanke’s announcement this week about providing more stimulus for the economy boosted US assets to become positive. Wall Street closed positive as the NASDAQ rose by 0.88% and the Dow Jones by 1.29% respectively. Crude oil declined by 0.30% and closed at $85.16 a barrel. Gold (XAU) fell by 5.60% owing to investors optimism, which were selling gold and in the end the yellow metal closed at $1,757 an ounce. Today, the Unemployment Claims are expected to be at 405K vs. 408K last week.
Euro (EUR) – The Euro weakened against the US Dollar as the German business confidence dropped to the lowest level in more than a year, coming out at 108.7 vs. 111, which led traders to prefer other assets to invest in. The EUR/USD is struggling at the 1.4400 level in the past few days, and as long as the pair is trading above the 1.4380 level, the Euro is more attractive. The next resistance level on the daily chart is at 1.4500. Overall, the EUR/USD traded with a low of 1.4374 and with a high of 1.4481. Today, the GfK German Consumer Climate is expected to decline from 5.40 to 5.20.
EUR/USD – Last: 1.4407
| Resistance |
1.4452 |
1.4500 |
|
| Support |
1.4375 |
1.4345 |
1.4290 |
British Pound (GBP) – The Pound weakened against the Dollar after the release of U.S. data on the Core Durable Goods Orders came out very positive and generally supported a stronger US Dollar. As long as the GBP\USD is trading below the 1.6430 level, the trend of the Pound is negative. It should be noted that the Moving Average indicator supports a downtrend as well. Overall, the GBP/USD traded with a low of 1.6365 and with a high of 1.6534. Today, the CBI Realized Sales are expected to be -10 vs. -5 prior.
GBP/USD – Last: 1.6371
| Resistance |
1.6435 |
1.6520 |
1.6575 |
| Support |
1.6350 |
|
|
Japanese Yen (JPY) –The Yen weakened against the Dollar as Moody’s Investors Service lowered the nation’s debt rating one step to Aa3. The main trend of the USD/JPY is bearish, and as long as the pair is trading below 77.40, the Yen is more attractive and a short position is preferred. Overall, the USD/JPY traded with a low of 76.46 and with a high of 77.07. No economic data is expected today.
USD/JPY-Last: 76.97
| Resistance |
77.15 |
|
|
| Support |
76.85 |
76.45 |
76.20 |
Canadian dollar (CAD) – The Canadian Dollar fluctuated against the US Dollar as positive reports in the US were released, which led to traders buying higher yielding assets. In addition, crude oil closed weaker, causing the pair to be unstable. As long as the pair is trading above 0.9830 level, the momentum of the US Dollar is positive. The next resistance level on the daily chart is located at 0.9920. Overall, the USD/CAD traded with a low of 0.9839 and with a high of 0.9905. No major data is expected today.
USD/CAD – Last: 0.9876
| Resistance |
0.9910 |
0.9940 |
|
| Support |
0.9835 |
|
|
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Posted by admin on August 17, 2011 under forex market |
USD Dollar (USD) – In forex trading, the U.S. Dollar traded mixed against most of the major currencies despite positive economic data and optimistic speech of US President Barack Obama. Obama told an audience in rural Iowa that the U.S. economy will come back “stronger than before” after the worst recession in decades, as he sought to regain the initiative on the economic debate. Obama said the recovery must be led by small businesses and entrepreneurs and “isn’t going to be driven by Washington.” In addition, Industrial Production in the U.S. climbed last month by 0.9 percent, the most this year. The Stock markets closed negative after three days of gains as the Dow Jones fell by 0.67% and the NASDAQ lost 1.24%. The main reason is high concern that the European debt crisis may worsen. Crude oil fell by 0.90% and closed at $87.00 a barrel. Gold (XAU) strengthened by 1.70% and closed at $1,786 an ounce, as the sagging European economy spurred demand for the precious metal as an investment haven. Today, PPI m/m is expected to show unchanged vs. -0.40% previously and Crude Oil Inventories are expected to fall by -0.40M vs. -5.2M previously.
Euro (EUR) – The Euro fell against the U.S. Dollar after German and French leaders rejected the issuance of bonds by the European currency region to contain its sovereign-debt crisis. German leader, Merkel said “I don’t think Europe has used its last resource yet, and I don’t think we can resolve the problem with a single big-bang policy”. In addition, the German GDP, adjusted for seasonal effects, grew 0.20% vs. 0.30% forecast. Trading above the support level of 1.4380 will keep the momentum positive for the pair. Overall, the EUR/USD traded with a low of 1.4351 and with a high of 1.4476. Today, the CPI y/y is expected to grow by 2.5% and the Core CPI y/y is expected to grow by 1.7% vs. 1.6% previously.
EUR/USD – Last: 1.4390
| Resistance |
1.4400 |
1.4450 |
1.4520 |
| Support |
1.4380 |
1.4250 |
1.4160 |
British Pound (GBP) – The Pound strengthened against the greenback after a report showed U.K. inflation accelerated more than economists forecast, reducing the likelihood the Central Bank will inject further monetary stimulus into the economy. The trend for the pair remains bullish if the pair maintains its support level of 1.6350, but if the pair breaks that support level, it may reach 1.6150. Overall, the GBP/USD traded with a low of 1.6317 and with a high of 1.6476. Today, the Claimant Count Change is expected to be at 20.1K vs. 24.5K previously and the MPC Meeting Minutes are due to be released.
GBP/USD – Last: 1.6430
| Resistance |
1.6480 |
1.6550 |
1.6620 |
| Support |
1.6380 |
1.6350 |
1.6320 |
Japanese Yen (JPY) – The Yen continued to fluctuate against the US Dollar after Japan indicated that it’s ready to intervene in foreign exchange markets again. The USD/JPY has been struggling between the 76.50 – 76.90 levels. As long as the pair is trading below 77.10, the Yen is more attractive. A short position is preferred if the pair breaks below the 76.30 level. Overall, the USD/JPY pair traded with a low of 76.59 and with a high of 77.09. No economic data is expected today.
USD/JPY-Last: 77.70
| Resistance |
77.20 |
77.50 |
78.00 |
| Support |
76.60 |
76.30 |
|
Canadian dollar (CAD) – The Canadian Dollar fell against its U.S. counterpart due to a decline in oil prices. In addition, the Manufacturing Sales came out worse than expected after showing a decline of -1.50% vs. -0.30% forecast. The trend for the pair will be bullish if the pair maintains its support level of 0.9820. Today, the Foreign Securities Purchases are expected to grow by 10.33B vs. 15.40B previously.
USD/CAD – Last: 0.9820
| Resistance |
0.9840 |
0.9870 |
0.9900 |
| Support |
0.9810 |
0.9780 |
0.9680 |
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